Last week we saw the yield curve invert once again in 2019, with yields on the 10-year treasury note dipping below those of the 2-year note. While often viewed by investors as a recessionary signal, an inverted yield curve is not always a reliable predictor of future stock market returns.
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We also wrote about yield curve inversion as a recession indicator in Mays’ blog post – ‘Dark Days Ahead? Yield Curve Inversion As a Recession Predictor’.